[Epoch Times, June 12, 2021]China has two sides: it is both stubborn and “advancing with the times.” The Sino-US relationship changed from hostility to closeness in 1971, which can be regarded as “advancing with the times”; and the bilateral relationship that ignited the Sino-US Cold War in 2020 and returned to Sino-US hostility is a typical stubbornness. The CCP’s “advance with the times” is actually nothing more than a need for survival. This will not change its stubborn nature. This is the key to see clearly the history of the CCP and the future of the CCP.
1. The two 50 years of the CCP’s foreign strategy negated each other
Recently the CCP is preparing to commemorate the 100th anniversary of the founding of the party, which is naturally a self-praise. However, if you look at the CCP’s foreign strategy, you can find another perspective, that is, the CCP’s century-old foreign strategy has almost gone a closed loop, from being hostile to the United States to being close to the United States, and from being close to the United States back to being hostile to the United States. If the direction of the CCP’s economic reform is to approach the market economy system of the international society, so it is natural to integrate into the international economy, abide by international rules, and get close to the leading country of Western society, the United States, then today it is returning to its hostile stance against the United States. Reversing? If the CCP is originally hostile to democracy and Western powers, it will inevitably be hostile to the United States in a hundred years. Then, for decades of its century, it has been close to the United States and even achieved this. Does this show the success or failure of the CCP?
What is interesting is that, if measured by the relationship between the CCP and the United States, the CCP’s one hundred years can be divided into two periods, namely two fifty years. The first fifty years, from 1921 to 1969, was nearly fifty years when the CCP was hostile to the United States; the second fifty years, from 1971 to 2019, was the period when the CCP got close to the United States, and it was still nearly fifty years old. Then, starting in 2020, after the CCP ignited the Sino-U.S. Cold War, Sino-U.S. relations have re-entered the stage of CCP’s hostility to the United States. China’s national destiny has been ups and downs during the historical turning point of the CCP’s foreign strategy. This kind of historical turning point has occurred twice, and each time it was a 180-degree turn. Looking back on these two fifty years, we will find that the period when the CCP was hostile to the United States was the era of Chinese people’s untimely; the period when the CCP was close to the United States was the era when the lives of the Chinese people improved. Now that Sino-US relations have entered a stage of hostility again, will the situation in China return to the time when the CCP was close to the United States in the future? Obviously, this is impossible. After dividing this century of the CCP into two parts, it is obvious that the two 50 years of fighting with each other can be seen. The CCP always emphasizes that along the way, it has always “singed forward and won every step”. So, these two conflicting and negating 50 years have proved that the CCP has “consistent victory” or repeated self-slaps? Looking further, since the CCP will be anti-US sooner or later, why not go all the way to the end, but turn around halfway? If it is a directional victory for the CCP to turn its head around and become closer to the United States, isn’t it a directional failure to return to its hostile foreign strategy to the United States? The CCP’s internal and external propaganda completely concealed this unjustified contradiction in strategic directions, so that the vast majority of Chinese people and Western experts on China issues were all fooled by the CCP’s deceptive propaganda.
2. Why did these two fifty years appear?
In my article “The Anxiety of the Communist Regime” on the Epoch Times website on June 6 this year, I pointed out that when the CCP propagated the 60 years of its political establishment, I pointed out the contradiction between two of the 30 years, namely, the conflict between revolution and reform. Opposition; the CCP’s senior officials later ordered that “two thirty years are not allowed to deny each other.” Now I have proposed that the two fifty years of the CCP’s founding one hundred years of negating each other, maybe the CCP will issue another order, “two fifty years are not allowed to deny each other”? My remarks about “two thirty years of mutual negation” have been circulating in China for more than ten years; will the same be true of my views on “two fifty years of mutual negation” in the future?
Political high pressure cannot stop people’s thinking, and the key to the problem is to analyze why two fifty years have occurred. The first fifty years of the CCP were actually the inevitable result of the CCP’s dependence on the Soviet Union to grow and develop, and it was an act of slaves serving their masters; the second fifty years of the CCP was the CCP’s challenge to the Soviet Union in an attempt to “rise”, and the result was in the Soviet Union. Under the nuclear threat, when desperate to find refuge in the United States; as for the recent renewed hostility to the United States, it is the CCP, the “wolf” adopted by the US “Mr. Dong Guo”, who has regained its stubborn nature, and then tried to “rise” and began to challenge the United States. In order to get rid of the predicament of development. Changing from being hostile to the United States to being close to the United States does not mean that the CCP has changed its evil and returning to the right; changing from being close to the United States to being hostile to the United States is a recurrence of the CCP’s vices. The difference between the two fifty years of the Chinese Communist Party’s one hundred years of history and the strategic transition from pro-Soviet to close to the United States and then to anti-Americanism demonstrate a basic characteristic of the CCP’s ruling clique. It always relies on foreign affairs. This kind of support seeks to grow, and after it grows, it will inevitably bite the hand that feeds it.
Because of the characteristics of the CCP, the Soviet Union suffered a terrible loss that year; it can be said that under the heavy burden of the US-Soviet Cold War, the Soviet Union had to bear the huge burden of the Sino-Soviet Cold War. These armament burdens eventually crushed the Soviet Union. On December 26 last year, my article “Historical Lessons in Raising Red Tigers Twice in the United States” on the Epoch Times website pointed out: “The United States raised tigers twice, and twice cultivated the Communist totalitarian regime, and the last two times. Forced to enter a state of cold war. Making a mistake once can be regarded as stupidity and carelessness of the United States; making the same major mistake a second time intact is worth pondering.”
3. The CCP turned its face from being pro-Soviet and anti-US to anti-Soviet
In its early years, the CCP relied on the Soviet Communist Party to train its cadres, and at the same time, it relied on the Soviet Communist Party to raise foreign currency. On November 7, 1931, the CCP followed the historical peasant rebellion and built a cottage in Jinggang Mountain, calling itself the “Chinese Soviet Republic.” The word “Soviet” comes from the Russian word Советский, and its original meaning is the English council or conference. “Soviet” later became one of the terms used in the name of the Soviet Union, and it was also the origin of “Sovietology” in the West. Those illiterate peasant soldiers in the Hunan and Jiangxi regions did not know a few Chinese characters, so they didn’t know what “Soviet” was. The CCP once engraved the slogan on the rocks of Jinggang Mountain, “Armed Revolution, Defend the Soviet Union.” It is difficult for a bandit to protect themselves. How can they defend the Soviet Union? This attitude of the CCP is nothing more than showing allegiance to the Soviet Union, which paid for it. Otherwise, it cannot be exchanged for foreign exchange given by the Soviet Union. This shows that the CCP was nothing more than a rebel group hired by foreign forces when it started.
After the end of the Anti-Japanese War, the national army was not defeated by the Communist army’s old guns and human sea tactics, but was militaryly defeated by the 1 million Kwantung Army weapons and equipment that the Soviet Union gave to the Communists, plus the Soviet Union transported from Europe to Dalian. The artillery equipment of the original German army; at the same time, there were some pro-communists among the American diplomats in China that year. They helped the CCP, contained the Nationalist government and the national army, and ended military assistance to the national army. As a result, the military strength of the Kuomintang and the Communist Party was reversed. The artillery firepower of the Communist Army in the Jinan Campaign and the Huaihai Campaign was stronger than the National Army, and the National Army was finally defeated. This defeat was the result of Soviet military intervention.
China was once a die-hard member of the Soviet camp, but after Stalin’s death, Mao Zedong began to figure out how to replace Stalin in the international communist camp and become the spiritual leader of the Communist Party of all countries. For this reason, in 1958, Mao launched the “Great Leap Forward” in economics, hoping to use this “shortcut” to prove that his “mass movement” can create an economic miracle, so that China’s economic strength will rapidly increase, showing a Maoist path. Better than the Soviet Union, increase his cost of “contending” with the Soviet Union. However, Mao’s policies of “Great Leap Forward”, “Catch up with the United States“, and “Run into Communism” completely failed, causing the tragedy of 30 million farmers to starve to death. The Soviet Union’s policy towards Mao Zedong was very contemptuous. At the 3rd Congress of the Romanian Workers’ Party held in Bucharest from June 20 to 25, 1960, Khrushchev told the CCP delegation: You are making the Great Leap Forward, but the people do not. Wearing pants, terribly poor. Lao Mao believed that the Soviet Union had slapped him in the face, and his dream of the leader of the international communist movement had been lost within two years. Therefore, he became angry and began to turn his face with the Soviet Union. The Sino-Soviet honeymoon was broken, and it was almost a deadly enemy.
Although the “Great Leap Forward” led to severe nationwide hunger for three consecutive years, Mao Zedong would rather allow tens of millions of peasants to starve to death and concentrate resources to promote the development of costly atomic bombs and missiles. A large amount of gold reserves are also exported, and a large amount of agricultural products are also exported in exchange for the foreign exchange needed for military imports. The price is that more farmers starve to death.
Because Mao had embarked on the anti-Soviet road, the CCP almost became a “lonely man” in the international communist movement. In order to win supporters in various countries, Mao did not hesitate to spend his money. In 1961 and 1962, foreign aid reached 1.37 billion yuan. Together with the foreign aid expenditures in the previous three years, the total amount was 2.36 billion yuan in five years, of which Albania, North Korea, Vietnam, Cuba, Mongolia, etc. The country has a total of 1.87 billion and assisted other Asian and African countries with 500 million. In order to continue to fight against the United States and carry out Mao’s “world revolution,” Deng Xiaoping was ordered to use 20 billion in economic aid to support the Viet Cong in launching the Vietnam War in 1963. At that time, the Great Leap Forward severely damaged the national power. Not long after 30 million people died of starvation, the whole country was hungry, lean, and malnourished. This 20 billion was equivalent to one-fifth of China’s annual national income and 60% of its fiscal revenue.
Fourth, from preparing for war against the Soviet Union to starting a fight between China and the Soviet Union
After China and the Soviet Union turned their faces, China embarked on the road of “preparing for war against the Soviet Union” with all its national strength. The “Strategy” published by the Chinese Academy of Military Sciences in 2013 mentioned that since 1964, the Chinese Communist Party’s strategic imaginary enemy has changed from the United States to the Soviet Union, and the Communist military’s strategic mission has changed from targeting the United States to mainly defending against the Soviet Union. A large number of troops have been mobilized to the north one after another, and a large number of camps and positions have been established in the “Three North” areas from northeast to north and northwest, and a combat plan has been formulated. Before 1964, the Soviet Union had only 10 divisions stationed on the border between China and the Soviet Union (including China and Mongolia) at 10,000 kilometers from west to east. On average, each division was responsible for the security of the 1,000 kilometers of the border. This is a symbolic garrison; while the Chinese army After the concentration in the north, the Soviet Union also gradually increased the border garrison between China and the Soviet Union to 54 divisions, reaching more than 1 million people.
In the end, Mao decided to attack the Soviet Union by armed force. In early 1969, he organized a carefully planned active attack on the Soviet Union in the border area of Zhenbao Island in Heilongjiang Province. On the night of March 1, the unsuspecting Soviet army was lured into the ambush, and more than 70 were wiped out. It was a Soviet patrol. There were many battles in the future. The Soviets announced that they were killed and injured by the People’s Liberation Army in this area. This was the worst casualty of the Soviets after World War II.
In order to retaliate against China, the high-level Soviet army also lifted the threat to China once and for all, prepared to use the intermediate-range ballistic missiles in the Far East, carrying nuclear warheads of several million tons equivalent, to carry out “surgical surgery” on China’s many important military and political targets. Surgical nuclear strike”. The primary target of such a nuclear strike is Beijing, the political and military command center. Once a nuclear strike begins, Zhongnanhai and even Beijing will be wiped out.
Before 1960, the Soviet Union deployed only about 70 medium-range and quasi-intermediate-range ballistic missiles in the Far East. However, after 1965, the Soviet Union’s missile weapons in the Far East continued to increase. The Transbaikal Military Region established a nuclear missile base against China and also in Mongolia. Many missile bases against China have been launched. At that time, the Soviet Union had 40,000 nuclear warheads and more than 1,000 intercontinental missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads. China had no long-range missiles at that time. From 1969 to 1970, there were only 50 medium-range missiles deployed in the northeast and northwest, and the number of nuclear warheads was very small.
If the Soviet Union used long-range missiles with nuclear warheads or bombers to drop nuclear bombs in 1969, China was completely unable to intercept Soviet missiles (China’s strategic missile early warning radar was only developed in 1970), so Mao did not have the strength to fight back and could only be beaten. The only way for Lao Mao was to go into a cave and hide, and wait for the Soviet army to launch a ground offensive with crowds of tactics. For this reason, the total number of the PLA increased to 6.31 million. The two largest communist countries in the world are ready to kill at any time, and it is China that is facing the disaster of extinction.
5. Being close to China and the United States is the CCP’s move to survive in danger
The CCP now regards the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States as a great choice made by Mao. In fact, it was Mao’s desire to survive in danger. The world war brought about by the Soviet nuclear attack in 1969 was about to break out, but Mao didn’t know that the catastrophe was imminent, and the “Ninth Congress” was held in Beijing in April. It was not until the United States disclosed the Soviet nuclear strike plan that the CCP panicked and began to make arrangements for survival and survival. At that time, most of the leaders of the Chinese Communist Party were evacuated to other provinces, and important files were secretly transported to the southwest for storage; the army evacuated 940,000 people, the air force evacuated more than 4,000 aircraft, and the navy evacuated more than 6,000 ships; The urban population has entered emergency combat readiness operations. Major and medium-sized cities urgently held air defense exercises and built large-scale air defense fortifications; a large number of cadres were decentralized to the “May 7 Cadre School”, and most of Beijing’s higher education institutions were decentralized or moved to other places; the national economy In the wartime state, many enterprises turned to military production, and a large number of factories moved to the mountainous areas and the third line with traffic congestion. At that time, China was living in this kind of quasi-war tense atmosphere.
On August 20, 1969, the Soviet ambassador to the United States was ordered to make an emergency appointment with Kissinger in Washington and informed the Soviet Union of its intention to carry out a nuclear strike against China. The Soviet Union’s judgment was that China and the United States were fighting in Vietnam at that time. If the Soviet Union started to fight the Beijing authorities, the United States might not intervene. However, Nixon believed that the greatest threat to Western countries came from the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union’s nuclear attack on China and nuclear pollution would threaten the safety of 250,000 US troops stationed in Asia. In the end, the White House judged that as long as the United States opposed it, the Soviet Union would not dare to use nuclear weapons lightly, and at the same time should try to inform China of the Soviet Union’s intentions. On August 28, 1969, the “Washington Star” published a news in a prominent position, with “The Soviet Union intends to perform a surgical nuclear strike on China” as the headline, and made the following report, “According to reliable sources, the Soviet Union intends to use the medium-range Ballistic missiles, carrying nuclear warheads equivalent to millions of tons, carry out surgical nuclear strikes on China’s important military bases-Jiuquan, Xichang Launch Base, Lop Nur Nuclear Test Base, and important industrial cities such as Beijing, Changchun, and Anshan.”
After the United States made such a statement, although the CPSU was worried that the United States might take action when it attacked China, its determination to strike the Beijing authorities with a nuclear weapon remained unchanged. On September 16, 1969, London’s “Saturday Post” published an article by KGB news spokesperson Victor Louis, stating that “the Soviet Union may carry out an aerial attack on the Lop Nor base in Xinjiang, China”. This is another test of the United States. Nixon believed: “The immediate Sino-Soviet war should be stopped. If they insist on fighting, it is their business.” For this reason, the United States used a code that had been deciphered by the Soviet Union to send the United States to 134 cities in the Soviet Union. Military key points, transportation hubs, and heavy industrial bases are instructed to launch nuclear strikes. On October 15th, the United States informed the Soviet ambassador to the United States that if China was hit by a nuclear attack by the Soviet Union, the United States would consider it to be the beginning of World War III, and therefore would strike the Soviet Union with a nuclear attack; once the Soviet Union had a medium-range missile left the launch pad, The U.S. retaliation plan began. The Soviet Union could only abandon its plan to nuclear attack the Beijing authorities, and the United States rescued Mao. Old Mao never expected that he fought two wars with the United States in North Korea and Vietnam. The Vietnam War was still escalating at the time, and the United States would help when a catastrophe was imminent.
6. From being close to China and the United States to turning over China and the United States
Facing the life-saving actions of the United States, although Lao Mao is not a person who knows his gratitude, he still knows what is at stake. Although the Soviet Union no longer nuclear attacks the CCP for the time being, the military threat to the Beijing authorities still exists and the pressure is huge. At this moment and now, only by improving Sino-US relations and getting close to the United States can the CCP regime continue to be safe. In this way, Old Mao took into his pocket the slogan “Unite the people of the world and bring down U.S. imperialism” which had been shouted for many years. Sino-U.S. relations improved. Nixon visited China, and radio stations in Beijing and Shanghai began to teach English. The U.S. suddenly changed from being a major enemy of the CCP to a support for the CCP’s survival. This is the fundamental reason for the historical turning point in the first 50 years of hostile relations between China and the United States. The closeness of China and the United States is nothing but a strategy of the CCP to survive in danger.
Since 1971, China and the United States have gradually gotten closer, but this does not mean that the CCP admitted that it was wrong to be anti-American in the past, nor that it admitted that it was wrong to follow the Soviet Union in the past. The CCP never admits its mistakes, but in order to survive, it may change its foreign strategic policy based on actual interests. Now we see that the CCP feels that it has a chance to “rise”, so it once again bites its American hand and ignited the Sino-U.S. Cold War.
The duality of the CCP is that it is not only stubborn, but also “advancing with the times.” The Sino-US relationship changed from hostility to closeness in 1971, which can be regarded as “advancing with the times”; and the bilateral relationship that ignited the Sino-US Cold War in 2020 and returned to Sino-US hostility is a typical stubbornness. The CCP’s “advance with the times” is actually nothing more than a need for survival. This will not change its stubborn nature. This is the key to see clearly the history of the CCP and the future of the CCP.
The Epoch Times
Editor in charge: Zhu Ying
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